Research & Evidence

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    Research & Evidence · Calculation

    Reproducible tools

    Each calculator exposes its inputs, result and the boundary that prevents a simulation from becoming a recommendation.

    MSC-T01 — MSC-T08

    Five calculations, five interpretation boundaries.

    Each tool exposes the calculation and states what it does not prove.

    MSC-T01

    A/B sample size

    3,841 per arm

    Two-sided normal approximation, 1:1 allocation, 80% power, α = 5%, without attrition or design effect.

    MSC-T02

    Difference-in-differences

    Difference-in-differences: +7.0 index points

    Descriptive 2×2 contrast; causal only when the design supports parallel trends.

    MSC-T04

    Constant elasticity

    -6.6%

    Conditional scenario, not a price recommendation.

    MSC-T05

    Price-volume-margin

    P₀ 100 € · VC 55 € · Q₀ 10,000
    Contribution change: +3.8%

    Conditional scenario, not a price recommendation.

    MSC-P-024 →
    MSC-T08

    Monte Carlo

    Probability of positive contribution: ≈ 99.9% (MC SE ≈ 0.1 pp · Wilson 95% CI ≈ 99.6–100.0%)

    2,000 fixed-seed draws; only elasticity follows an unbounded normal, without MSC-010 dependencies.

    MSC-P-034 →